Glass industry

Economic Performance of Different Glass Production Routes

Scenario-specific analysis:

The graph below illustrates total CO₂ emissions (t CO₂/t glass) and specific total cost (€/t glass) across different decarbonization pathways for the glass sector. Click below to get details about the different decarbonization pathways.

The alternative configurations are evaluated under two scenarios: 2025 and 2050. The corresponding assumptions regarding emission factors and commodity prices are listed in the Table below.

Scenario-specific assumptions regarding emission factors and commodities prices

Emission factors

Commodities prices

Scenarios

2025

2050

2025

2050

Electricity

145 gCO₂/kWh

44 gCO₂/kWh

78 €/MWh

56 €/MWh

Natural gas

69 gCO₂/kWh

69 gCO₂/kWh

36 €/MWh

35 €/MWh

Hydrogen

87 gCO₂/kWh

44 gCO₂/kWh

120 €/MWh

78 €/MWh

CO₂ (ETS)

-

-

75 €/t

250 €/t

How to interpret the graph

The following Pareto chart compares different decarbonization configurations for flat glass production for the 2025 (left) and 2050 (right) scenarios. Each point represents a unique combination of furnace technology and CO₂ capture option, evaluated for cost, emissions, and energy consumption.​

  • X-axis: Total annual cost (€/t glass)
  • Y-axis: Total CO₂ emissions (t CO₂/t glass)
  • Color scale: Specific energy consumption (GJ/t glass) — from low (blue) to high (red).
  • Shape: Represents the furnace technology used in the kiln (e.g., natural gas air-fired furnace, natural gas oxy-fired furnace, partial electrification, etc.)
  • Filling: Represents the implentation of a CO₂ capture unit

​The leftmost boundary highlights the most cost-effective options for given emission reductions.

Technology mapping:

Optimal decarbonization pathways—those that achieve the lowest specific total cost—have been identified for the glass sector across a wide range of pricing scenarios, reflecting market volatility and uncertainty. The market conditions under which each decarbonization pathway is economically optimal are visualized in the parallel coordinates plots below.​

Each line in a parallel coordinates plot represents an optimal solution for a specific combination of energy and emissions prices. The vertical axes show input parameters (electricity, hydrogen, natural gas, CO₂ prices), as well as the selected technology, fuel and electricity demand, carbon capture deployment and resulting emissions. By following a line from left to right, one can trace how a particular price scenario leads to a specific configuration and its associated performance metrics.

Natural gas air-fired furnaces:


Natural gas oxy-fired furnaces:


Hybrid furnaces:


Electric furnaces:


Hydrogen-fired furnaces:

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